| 高榆,冯小飞,闻静,黑发欣,丁国伟,庞琳.2012-2017年中国丙型肝炎与HIV/AIDS报告病例的时空分布及相关性分析[J].中华流行病学杂志,2019,40(2):155-159 |
| 2012-2017年中国丙型肝炎与HIV/AIDS报告病例的时空分布及相关性分析 |
| Spatio-temporal distribution and correlation of reported cases of hepatitis C and HIV/AIDS in China, 2012-2017 |
| 收稿日期:2018-08-16 出版日期:2019-01-31 |
| DOI：10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2019.02.006 |
| 中文关键词: 丙型肝炎 艾滋病 时空分布 相关性分析 |
| 英文关键词: Hepatitis C AIDS Spatial and temporal distribution Correlation analysis |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 目的 比较2012-2017年我国丙型肝炎与HIV/AIDS报告病例的时间及空间分布，分析两种疾病时间与空间的相关性。方法 对2012-2017年我国传染病疫情信息网络直报系统中的丙型肝炎与HIV/AIDS报告病例数据，按照审核日期及现住址按年份和省份统计，并通过简单相关以及线性回归分析两种疾病之间在时间与空间的相关性。结果 2012-2017年我国丙型肝炎报告病例数基本维持稳定，分别为201 622、203 155、202 803、207 897、206 832和214 023例；2012-2017年我国HIV/AIDS报告病例数呈平稳增长趋势，分别为82 434、90 119、103 501、115 465、124 555及134 512例。两者均居前列的省份为河南、广东、新疆、广西、湖南和云南。简单相关分析提示，2012-2017年，各年份、各省份的丙型肝炎与HIV/AIDS报告病例数之间有正相关关系（r值均>0.5，P值均<0.01）；线性回归分析提示丙型肝炎与HIV/AIDS报告病例数的相关系数rs和年份之间具有较强的相关性（r=0.966），其大小随着时间变化呈线性上升。结论 我国丙型肝炎与HIV/AIDS报告病例数在不同省份存在时间及空间上的相关性，提示在疫情严重地区开展防治工作，特别是血液传播的防治措施可考虑将两者有机结合。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Objective To compare the time and spatial distribution of hepatitis C and HIV/AIDS cases and its correlation, in China from 2012 to 2017. Methods Data on reported hepatitis C and HIV/AIDS cases was gathered from the Direct Reporting System of Infectious Diseases Information Network in China, 2012 to 2017 while annually collected provincial data was based on the date of review and current address. Correlation of the data was analyzed, using both simple correlation and linear regression methods. Results The number of reported cases of hepatitis C remained stable in China, in 2012-2017, with the number of annual reported cases as 201 622, 203 155, 202 803, 207 897, 206 832 and 214 023, respectively. The number of reported cases on HIV/AIDS showed a steady growing trend, from 82 434, 90 119, 103 501, 115 465, 124 555 to 134 512. However, the numbers of hepatitis C and HIV/AIDS cases were in the same, top six provinces:Henan, Guangdong, Xinjiang, Guangxi, Hunan and Yunnan. Results from the simple correlation analysis indicated that there was a positive correlation (r>0.5, P<0.01) existed between the above-said two kinds of cases at the provincial level in China, in 2012-2017. Again, results from the linear regression analysis also showed that the correlation coefficient rs and year was strongly correlated (r=0.966) while rs had been linearly increasing with time. Conclusions Our data showed that there were temporal and spatial correlations existed between the reported cases of hepatitis C and HIV/AIDS at the provincial level, suggesting that relevant prevention and control programs be carried out in areas with serious epidemics. Combination of the two strategies should be encouraged, especially on prevention and treatment measures related to blood transmission. |
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