Abstract
何佳谕,林海江,汪剡灵,李桂霞,沈伟伟,陈潇潇,何纳.台州市2006-2019年艾滋病抗病毒治疗免疫学失败风险分析[J].Chinese journal of Epidemiology,2020,41(11):1888-1893
台州市2006-2019年艾滋病抗病毒治疗免疫学失败风险分析
Risk analysis of immunological failure of antiretroviral therapy in HIV/AIDS patients in Taizhou prefecture,2006-2019
Received:March 30, 2020  
DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn112338-20200330-00465
KeyWord: 艾滋病  抗病毒治疗  免疫学失败  贫血
English Key Word: HIV/AIDS  Antiretroviral therapy  Immunological failure  Anemia
FundProject:国家科技重大专项(2018ZX10721102-004)
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
He Jiayu Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China  
Lin Haijiang Taizhou Prefectural Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Taizhou 318000, China  
Wang Shanling Taizhou Prefectural Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Taizhou 318000, China  
Li Guixia Taizhou Prefectural Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Taizhou 318000, China  
Shen Weiwei Taizhou Prefectural Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Taizhou 318000, China  
Chen Xiaoxiao Taizhou Prefectural Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Taizhou 318000, China tzcdccxx@126.com 
He Na Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China nhe@fudan.edu.cn. 
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Abstract:
      目的 分析台州市2006-2019年HIV/AIDS抗病毒治疗免疫学失败情况、基线贫血与免疫学失败关联及其影响因素。方法 采用回顾性队列研究设计和Cox回归分析免疫学失败的影响因素,采用logistic回归分析HIV/AIDS基线贫血的影响因素。结果 共纳入2 904例HIV/AIDS,抗病毒治疗随访时间中位数为28(P25P75:12~53)个月。抗病毒治疗免疫学失败177例(占6.1%),失败率为2.17人/100人年,第1、3、5和10年免疫学失败累积发生率分别为5.49%、6.94%、7.30%和8.82%。多因素logistic回归分析结果显示,HIV/AIDS基线贫血的影响因素中,≥66岁组是18~25岁组的4.17倍(95% CI:1.68~10.33)、男性是女性的0.67倍(95% CI:0.50~0.89)、CD4<200个/μl是CD4≥350个/μl的4.35倍(95% CI:2.81~6.72)、基线白细胞计数<4.0×109/L是4.0×109/L~9.9×109/L的1.73倍(95% CI:1.31~2.29)、基线血小板计数<100×109/L和>300×109/L分别是100×109/L~299×109/L的2.02倍(95% CI:1.36~3.01)和4.45倍(95% CI:3.05~6.50)、WHO临床Ⅲ/Ⅳ期是Ⅰ/Ⅱ期的2.15倍(95% CI:1.61~2.87)、异性性传播是同性性传播的2.03倍(95% CI:1.42~2.92)。多因素Cox比例风险回归分析结果显示,HIV/AIDS抗病毒治疗免疫学失败的影响因素中,基线贫血是无贫血的1.77倍(95% CI:1.20~2.60)、WHO临床Ⅲ/Ⅳ期是Ⅰ/Ⅱ期的1.66倍(95% CI:1.10~2.48)、随访状态为退出和死亡分别是在治的3.18倍(95% CI:1.96~5.19)和4.61倍(95% CI:2.98~7.13)。结论 台州市HIV/AIDS抗病毒治疗免疫学效果受贫血、临床分期、随访状态等因素影响。应加强HIV/AIDS基线贫血监测,及时纠正老年贫血等危险因素,以进一步提高抗病毒治疗效果。
English Abstract:
      Objective To analyze the immunological failure of antiretroviral therapy (ART), its association with baseline anemia and related factors in HIV/AIDS patients in Taizhou prefecture, during 2006-2019. Methods A retrospective cohort study was conducted among HIV/AIDS patients under ART. Cox regression model was used to analyze predictors of immunological failure and logistic regression model was used to analyze factors of baseline anemia. Results A total of 2 904 HIV/AIDS patients were enrolled with a median time of 28 (P25-P75:12-53) months follow-up of ART, in which 177 cases (6.1%) were identified as immunological failure with a failure rate of 2.17 per 100 person-years. The cumulative incidence rates of immunological failure in the first, third, fifth, and tenth years were 5.49%, 6.94%, 7.30% and 8.82%, respectively. Results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that for the risk of baseline anemia, ≥66 years old group had 4.17 times higher risk than 18-25 years old group (95%CI: 1.68-10.33), males had 0.67 times higher risk than females (95%CI: 0.50-0.89), and CD4+T cell counts (CD4)<200 cells/μl group had 4.35 times higher risk than CD4≥350 cells/μl group (95%CI: 2.81-6.72), baseline white blood cells<4.0×109 cells/L group had 1.73 times higher risk than 4.0×109 cells/L-9.9×109 cells/L group (95%CI: 1.31-2.29), baseline platelet counts <100×109 cells /L and >300×109 cells/L groups had 2.02 times and 4.45 times higher risk than 100×109 cells/L-299×109 cells/L group (95%CI: 1.36-3.01, 95%CI: 3.05-6.50), respectively. WHO classified stage Ⅲ/Ⅳ group had 2.15 times higher risk than WHO classified stageⅠ/Ⅱ group (95%CI: 1.61-2.87), while heterosexual transmission group had 2.03 times higher risk than homosexual transmission group (95%CI: 1.42-2.92). Results of multivariate cox proportional risk regression showed that for the risk of immunological failure, baseline anemia group had 1.77 times higher risk than no anemia group (95%CI: 1.20-2.60), WHO classified stage Ⅲ/Ⅳ group had 1.66 times higher risk than WHO classified stageⅠ/Ⅱgroup (95%CI: 1.10-2.48), and withdrawal of follow up and death groups had 3.18 times and 4.61 times higher risks than treatment group (95%CI: 1.96-5.19, 95%CI: 2.98-7.13), respectively. Conclusions The immunological effect of ART among HIV/AIDS patients in Taizhou prefecture was affected by multiple factors, including anemia, clinical stage and follow-up status. Enhancing surveillance of baseline anemia and timely correction of anemia in elder group can help improve treatment outcome of HIV/AIDS patients.
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