文章摘要
李廷杰,陈秀山,李燕芬.应用时间序列统计方法分析广东省1984~1993年乙型脑炎季节性分布特性[J].中华流行病学杂志,1998,19(2):103-106
应用时间序列统计方法分析广东省1984~1993年乙型脑炎季节性分布特性
Application of the Time-Series Method to Analyse the Seasonal Distribution of Epidemic EncephalitisB Incidence in Guangdong Province in the Years of
收稿日期:1997-05-14  出版日期:2014-09-16
DOI:
中文关键词: 流行性乙型脑炎  游程检验  有序对数比检验
英文关键词: Epidemic encephalitis  B Run test  Ordered-log-r atio test
基金项目:
作者单位
李廷杰 广东药学院, 广州 510224 
陈秀山 广东药学院, 广州 510224 
李燕芬 广东药学院, 广州 510224 
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中文摘要:
      对构成双向有序列联表时间序列数据的广东 1984~ 1993年 10年乙型脑炎 (乙脑 )逐月发病资料,应用游程检验和有序对数比检验两种不同统计方法进行季节性分布分析,获一致的统计结论,乙脑发病呈明显的一年一峰 ( 6月或 7月 )季节性周期,这对流行病学工作者掌握两种统计方法的基本原理和方法有一定帮助。
英文摘要:
      This paper analysed the data of epidemicencephalit is Bincidence that was constitutedto time- series and the two-ordered conting encytable in Guang dong province from 1984 to1993. Two different kinds of statistical methods of run- test and ordered-log-ratio test were applied to study the characteristics of seasonal distribution. Consistent conclusion was obtained to showthat there appeared an obvious seasonal cyclic characteristic of a peak every year ( June o r July ) for the incidence of epidemic encephalitis B. It is helpful for the epidemiolo gists to under stand the principle and method of these statistical tests.
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