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Abstract
姚光海,邹志霆,王丹,郭军,聂炜,刘慧慧,唐光鹏.贵州省2012年手足口病死亡病例流行病学分析[J].Chinese journal of Epidemiology,2014,35(3):343-344
贵州省2012年手足口病死亡病例流行病学分析
Epide miological analysis on the denths of hand-foot-mouth disease in Guizhou province
Received:November 04, 2013
DOI:
KeyWord
:
手足口病
死亡病例
摧述流行病学
English Key Word
:
Hand.foot-mouth disease
Death case
Descriptive epidemiology
FundProject
:
国家自然 科学基金(81070436)
Author Name
Affiliation
E-mail
Yao Guanghai
Chinese Field Epidemiology Training Program Chinese Center for Disease Condrol and Prevention
,
Beijing 100050. China
Guizhou Provincial Centerfor Disease Control and Prevention
zzt@gzcdc,gov.En
Zou Zhiting
Guizhou Provincial Centerfor Disease Control and Prevention
Wang Dan
Guizhou Provincial Centerfor Disease Control and Prevention
Guo Jun
Guizhou Provincial Centerfor Disease Control and Prevention
Nie Wei
Guizhou Provincial Centerfor Disease Control and Prevention
Liu Huihui
Chinese Field Epidemiology Training Program Chinese Center for Disease Condrol and Prevention
,
Beijing 100050. China
Tang Guangpeng
Guizhou Provincial Centerfor Disease Control and Prevention
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结果
表明HPV自检法的真实灵敏度和特异度分别为83.53%(95%CI:74.23~89.93)和85.86%(95%C1:84.23~87.36)。随机抽样
结果
显示,传统
方法
计算的灵敏度和特异度分别为90.48%(95%C1:80.74-95.56)和71.96%(95%C1:68.71~75.00),采用逆概率权重法校正后的灵敏度和特异度分别为82,25%(95%CI:63。11-92.62)和85。80%(95%C1:85。09~86.47);采用最大似然估计法校正后的灵敏度和特异度分别为80.13%(95%CI:66.81.93.46)和85.80%(95%CI:84.20~87.41)。表明在复杂抽样情况下,逆概率权重法能够有效校正存在证实偏倚的灵敏度和特异度
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