龚卉,于茂河,柳忠泉,杨杰.运用捕获-再捕获方法估计天津市跨性别女性人群规模[J].Chinese journal of Epidemiology,2023,44(6):912-916 |
运用捕获-再捕获方法估计天津市跨性别女性人群规模 |
Estimate the population size of transgender women based on the capture-recapture method in Tianjin |
Received:October 25, 2022 |
DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn112338-20221025-00907 |
KeyWord: 跨性别女性 捕获-再捕获方法 人群规模 |
English Key Word: Transgender women Capture-recapture method Population size |
FundProject:天津市卫生健康科技项目(ZC20022) |
Author Name | Affiliation | E-mail | Gong Hui | Department of AIDS/STD Prevention and Control, Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tianjin 300011, China Tianjin Key Laboratory of Pathogenic Microbiology of Infectious Disease, Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tianjin 300011, China | | Yu Maohe | Department of AIDS/STD Prevention and Control, Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tianjin 300011, China Tianjin Key Laboratory of Pathogenic Microbiology of Infectious Disease, Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tianjin 300011, China | yumaohe@tj.gov.cn | Liu Zhongquan | Department of AIDS/STD Prevention and Control, Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tianjin 300011, China Tianjin Key Laboratory of Pathogenic Microbiology of Infectious Disease, Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tianjin 300011, China | | Yang Jie | Shenlan Public Health Consulting Service Center, Tianjin 300121, China | |
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Abstract: |
目的 了解天津市跨性别女性(TGW)人群规模,分析该人群性行为特征,为制定防控措施提供依据。方法 采用捕获-再捕获方法,估计天津市TGW人群规模,同时收集匿名调查问卷,对TGW人群的性行为进行多因素logistic分析。采用问卷星建立调查问卷数据库,采用SPSS 24.0软件进行统计学分析。结果 共调查TGW人群213人,估计天津市TGW人群规模为599(95%CI:407~792)人。TGW人群坚持使用安全套的多因素logistic回归分析结果显示,最近3个月有固定性伴的人坚持使用安全套的比例较低(与最近3个月无固定性伴者相比,aOR=0.44,95%CI:0.23~0.82),最近1年做过HIV抗体检测者坚持使用安全套的比例较高(与最近1年与未做过HIV抗体检测者相比,aOR=2.73,95%CI:1.06~6.99)。结论 需要加强TGW人群及其固定性伴的HIV动员检测,提高安全套的使用率。 |
English Abstract: |
Objective To investigate the population size of transgender women (TGW) in Tianjin and analyze the characteristics of their sexual behaviors to provide a basis for AIDS prevention and control. Methods To estimate the population size of TGW in Tianjin using the capture-recapture method. At the same time, an anonymous questionnaire was collected to conduct a multi-factor logistic analysis of the TGW population's sexual behavior. Results A total of 213 TGW were investigated. Tianjin's estimated TGW population size was 599 (95%CI: 407-792). Multivariate logistic analysis of the use of condoms consistently showed that compared with TGW without regular sex partners, those with regular sex partners had a lower proportion of consistent condom use (aOR=0.44, 95%CI: 0.23-0.82) and had received HIV tests in the last year were more likely to adhere to condom use than those who had not been tested (aOR=2.73, 95%CI: 1.06-6.99).Conclusion It is necessary to strengthen HIV mobilization testing among the TGW population and their regular sexual partners to improve condom use. |
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