Abstract
池桂波,王声湧,胡毅玲.车祸死亡率与机动化程度关系的流行病学分析[J].Chinese journal of Epidemiology,1996,17(1):25-28
车祸死亡率与机动化程度关系的流行病学分析
An Epidemiological Analysis on the Relationship between Motorization and Traffic Mortality in China
Received:May 15, 1995  Revised:August 05, 1995
DOI:
KeyWord: 交通事故  死亡率  流行病学
English Key Word: Road accident  Motorization  Epidemiology
FundProject:本研究为广东省卫生厅科学基金资助项目
Author NameAffiliation
Chi Gui-bo Department of Epidemiology, Medical College of Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632 
Wang Sheng-yong Department of Epidemiology, Medical College of Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632 
Hu Yi-ling Department of Epidemiology, Medical College of Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632 
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Abstract:
      为探讨道路交通事故对居民的威胁,对1949~1992年我国机动化程度的长期趋势及车祸死亡情况进行分析。40年中我国机动化程度提高了100倍,但总体水平仍比较低。随着机动化程度提高,人身安全水平逐年下降,交通安全水平则从70年代后期开始好转。全国30个省市自治区中,以北京的机动化程度最高,交通安全水平最好,人身安全水平则以内蒙古最佳。当机动化提高到一定程度而且交通安全水平有明显改善的地区,人身安全水平也开始好转。由此可见,机动化程度和道路系统的安全水平共同影响了道路交通事故对人身安全的威胁程度。
English Abstract:
      In order to explore the road accident which brings about a threat aganist residents' life. We applied motorized extent of city (MEC, the rate per 1000 persons possessing the number of vehicles), level of traffic safety (LTS, the mortality rate per 10000 registered vehicles), level of personal safety (LPS, the mortality rate per 100000 persons) to evaluate the relationship between secular trend of motorization and traffic mortality in China. Although increased by 100 times from 1949 to 1992, MEC was considered rather low in the whole country (MEC=11.2‰). When MEC was progressing while LPS was decreasing year after year, LTS has been improved since the late 1970s. The best records of MEC and LTS were noticed in Beijing and the best LPS was in Inner Mongolia. Throughout the 30 administrative areas, LPS has taken a favourable turn, while MEC and LTS abtained distinct improvement in certain areas. Thus one's personal safety is affected by both the synergism of motorization and the road safety level.
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