| 栾荣生,曾刚,张大鹏,程峰,罗雷,吕繁,王斌,刘刚,梁伯衡.男同性恋人群基数估计方法的研究[J].Chinese journal of Epidemiology,2003,24(11):984-986 |
| 男同性恋人群基数估计方法的研究 |
| A study on the estimation of the size of male homosexual population |
| Received:January 28, 2003 |
| DOI： |
| KeyWord: 男同性恋者 基数估计 捕获再捕获法 除数法 乘数法 |
| English Key Word: Male homosexuals Estimating the size of population Capture-mark-recapture method Division method Multiplier method |
| FundProject:中英性病艾滋病防治合作资助项目 |
| Author Name | Affiliation | | LUAN Rong-sheng | Department of Epidemiology, West China School of Public Health, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China | | ZENG Gang | Department of Epidemiology, West China School of Public Health, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China | | ZHANG Da-peng | 中国疾病预防控制中心性病艾滋病预防控制中心流行病室 | | CHENG Feng | 中英性病艾滋病防治合作项目办公室 | | LUO Lei | Department of Epidemiology, West China School of Public Health, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China | | LV Fan | 中国疾病预防控制中心性病艾滋病预防控制中心流行病室 | | WANG Bin | 中英性病艾滋病防治合作项目办公室 | | LIU Gang | 四川省疾病预防控制中心病毒所 | | LIANG Bo-heng | Department of Epidemiology, West China School of Public Health, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China |
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| Abstract: |
| 目的通过现场实施确定男同性恋人群规模估计的更为实用的方法。方法同时采用除数法、捕获再捕获法和乘数法在10天内对某市9个男同性恋活动场所展开计数调查。结果除数法计数结果为877人;捕获再捕获法获得3次计数结果,分别为1408人、1207人和949人,乘数法未获得适当数据。结论除数法易于操作,进展顺利,结果可信度较高,但花费较大;捕获再捕获法用时短,花费低,3次结果可以相互印证,适于同性恋人群基数估计;乘数法需要改进以获得较可靠的信息。 |
| English Abstract: |
| Objective To study the practical survey method on estimating the size of male homosexual population. Methods Nine male homosexual gathering spots were selected and three Methods as division method, capture-mark-recapture method and multiplier method were applied in counting the numbers of homosexual men in one city in Sichuan province. Results Number of counting through division method was 877 and the three numbers through capture-mark-recapture method were 1408, 1207 and 949 respectively. However, appropriate data was noTobtained by multiplier method. Conclusions Division method was easy to operate with its high credibility, buTcostly.Capture-mark-recapture method was less costly less both in capital and time, and the Results could be testified to each other.Multiplier method should be modified before applied to obtain reliable information. |
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