反事实和归因疾病负担研究

陶庄; 杨功焕

Abstract

陶庄,杨功焕.反事实和归因疾病负担研究[J].Chinese journal of Epidemiology,2010,31(4):466-468

反事实和归因疾病负担研究

Counterfactual and burden of disease attributable to risk factors

Received:August 20, 2009

DOI：10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2010.04.025

English Key Word: Counterfactual|Burden of disease attributable to risk factors|Causal effect|Comparative risk assessment|Causal contrast

FundProject:

Author Name	Affiliation	E-mail
Tao Zhuang	National Center for Public Health Surveillance and Information Services, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China
Yang Gonghuan	National Center for Public Health Surveillance and Information Services, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China	yangghuan@vip.sina.com

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Abstract:

反事实(counter factual)的本质意思是指在实际生活中, 某些情况并未发生, 即与“事实”相反。在哲学和统计学界, 有很多学者就是借用这个问题来探索事物发生的原因。笔者曾将“counterfactual”译为“虚拟事实”, 这是沿袭耿直的译法^[1], 但是究其在逻辑学上的起源, 会发现一般直译为“反事实”^[2], 由于无论统计学还是现在的社会学都奉此起源为正溯, 故本文也遵从该译法。

English Abstract:

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