朱海清,杨文英.亚洲人群糖尿病患病情况:现状和未来[J].Chinese journal of Epidemiology,2011,32(11):1065-1067 |
亚洲人群糖尿病患病情况:现状和未来 |
Prevalence of diabetes in Asia-current status and future |
Received:September 16, 2011 Revised:June 28, 2012 |
DOI: |
KeyWord: 糖尿病 肥胖 |
English Key Word: Diabetes Obesity |
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Abstract: |
2型糖尿病可引起血管并发症,并使过早死亡的发生率显著增加[1-4]。WHO预测2000-2030年全球人口数将增加37%,而糖尿病患者人数将增加114%[4]。国际糖尿病联盟(IDF)估计糖尿病的患病人数将从2007年的2.4亿增加至2025年的3.8亿[5]。 |
English Abstract: |
Objective To explore the risk factors of hypertension and risk population for adults aged≥25 in the mid-western rural areas of Shandong province and to provide evidence for development of intervention measure. Methods Subjects aged ≥25 were selected by multi-stage stratified random sampling method. All participants were interviewed with a standard questionnaire and physically examined on height, weight, waist circumference, blood pressure and fasting plasma glucose (FPG). Classification tree analysis was employed to determine the risk factors of hypertension and high risk populations related to it. Results The major risk factors of hypertension would include age, abdominal obesity, overweight or obesity, family history and high blood sugar. The major populations at high risk would include populations as: a) being clderly, b) at middle-age but with: high blood sugar or with abdominal obesity/overweight, or with family history, c) people at middle-age but with family history and abdominal obesity. Through classification tree analysis, sensitivity, specificity and overall correct rates were 71.87%, 66.38% and 68.79 %, respectively on ' learning sample' while 70.70 %, 65.84 % and 67.97 % respectively on ' testing sample'. Conclusion Efforts on both weight and blood sugar reduction were common prevention measures for general population. Different kinds of prevention and control measures should be taken according to different risk factors existed in the targeted high-risk population of hypertension. Community-based prevention and control for hypertension measures should be integrated when targeting the population at high risk. |
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