| 张莉,吴双胜,石伟先,段玮,孙瑛,张漫,张惺惺,王全意,杨鹏.综合指数法建立北京市流感流行水平分级评价体系的研究[J].Chinese journal of Epidemiology,2018,39(8):1096-1099 |
| 综合指数法建立北京市流感流行水平分级评价体系的研究 |
| Establishment of the classified evaluation system on the levels of influenza epidemics through a synthetic index method, in Beijing |
| Received:January 18, 2018 |
| DOI：10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2018.08.016 |
| KeyWord: 流感 综合指数 监测 分级 |
| English Key Word: Influenza Synthetic index Surveillance Classification |
| FundProject:北京市优秀人才培养资助青年拔尖个人项目（2014000021223ZK36） |
| Author Name | Affiliation | E-mail | | Zhang Li | Institute for Infectious Disease and Endemic Disease Control, Beijing Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing Center for Preventive Medicine Research, Beijing 100013, China | | | Wu Shuangsheng | Institute for Infectious Disease and Endemic Disease Control, Beijing Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing Center for Preventive Medicine Research, Beijing 100013, China | | | Shi Weixian | Institute for Infectious Disease and Endemic Disease Control, Beijing Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing Center for Preventive Medicine Research, Beijing 100013, China | | | Duan Wei | Institute for Infectious Disease and Endemic Disease Control, Beijing Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing Center for Preventive Medicine Research, Beijing 100013, China | | | Sun Ying | Institute for Infectious Disease and Endemic Disease Control, Beijing Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing Center for Preventive Medicine Research, Beijing 100013, China | | | Zhang Man | Institute for Infectious Disease and Endemic Disease Control, Beijing Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing Center for Preventive Medicine Research, Beijing 100013, China | | | Zhang Xingxing | Institute for Infectious Disease and Endemic Disease Control, Beijing Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing Center for Preventive Medicine Research, Beijing 100013, China | | | Wang Quanyi | Institute for Infectious Disease and Endemic Disease Control, Beijing Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing Center for Preventive Medicine Research, Beijing 100013, China | | | Yang Peng | Institute for Infectious Disease and Endemic Disease Control, Beijing Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing Center for Preventive Medicine Research, Beijing 100013, China
School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100069, China | yangpengcdc@163.com |
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| Abstract: |
| 目的 制定北京市流感流行水平分级标准体系，探索科学、实用的流感流行水平报告新模式。方法 采用综合指数法建立流感流行水平评价系统，选择流感样病例数、流感病毒核酸检测阳性率和流感聚集性疫情起数3个指标并确定指标衡量标准，对各指标进行相对化处理，计算每周流感综合指数并划分评价等级。结果 将北京市2013-2017年度共209周按流感流行水平分为5个等级，等级1为110周（52.63%），等级2为47周（22.49%），等级3为44周（21.05%），等级4为8周（3.83%），等级5为0周。结论 根据流感样病例数、流感病毒核酸检测阳性率及流感聚集性疫情发生情况，提出流感防控的综合指数评价方法及相应的防控建议，为北京市流感防控工作提供评价方法。 |
| English Abstract: |
| Objective To establish a classified evaluation system for recognizing the levels of influenza epidemics and to explore the new reporting system on influenza epidemics. Methods The following 3 indicators, including 1) the number of influenza-like illness, 2) positive rate of detection on influenza virus nucleic acids, and 3) the number of influenza outbreaks were chosen to calculate the synthetic index and to classify the grades of evaluation. Results 209 weeks during 2013-2017 were classified into 5 grades:Grade 1 were 110 weeks (52.63%), Grade 2 were 47 weeks (22.49%), Grade 3 were 44 weeks (21.05%), Grade 4 were 8 weeks (3.83%), and Grade 5 were 0 week. Conclusion This classified evaluation system provided simple, comprehensive and comparable reference indicators and used for the evaluation on influenza epidemics, also providing suggestions for influenza prevention and control accordingly. |
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